Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
If your cruise sails near Hawaii or the Baja California Peninsula in the coming days, check updates on Tropical Storm Lowell (currently north-northwest of Hawaii) and Tropical Depression Fourteen-E (southwest of Baja California's southern tip). Also watch the low-pressure area forecast to form south of Baja this weekend or early next week, which has a 50 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression within 7 days. Confirm your itinerary status with your cruise line directly, since this outlook only covers storm formation and location, not cruise operations.
What jumps out here is the split geography: Lowell is already a named storm north-northwest of Hawaii with 60 mph winds, while Fourteen-E just got its designation off Baja with a much weaker 35 mph. That's two different threat levels in two different cruise regions in the same advisory. The more interesting number, to me, is the 50 percent seven-day formation chance for the system forecast to spin up south of Baja this weekend — that's a coin-flip on a new depression forming right in East Pacific repositioning routes. The south-southeast Hawaii disturbance, by contrast, is a low-probability item (20 percent over 7 days) that I wouldn't lose sleep over yet. If I had a sailing through either corridor in the next week, I'd be checking NHC advisories daily rather than relying on a single snapshot like this one.